Friday, January 30, 2009

MATT KENSETH AND ALL-WORLD RANKINGS


ESPN has a couple of cool things on their Packers page today, both should be of interest. First, although I'm not a NASCAR fan in any way, shape, or form, I admit that I root for Matt Kenseth, knowing he began his career in Wisconsin. I remember the only stock car race I've ever been to was in Wisconsin, I believe in Kaukauna at Wisconsin International Raceway. While I didn't get to see much racing (the race was rained out before the main event even started), my one memory from the experience was my since passed uncle Roger (rest in peace) wearing his Matt Kenseth hat and telling me how this was the track on which his career began. Ever since, I have rooted for the Cambridge (east of Madison) native.

Anyways, ESPN did a cool short entitled "My First Crush" in which they featured a few athletes and the teams which they first had a great passion for. Check out Kenseth's Lambeau Leap, or should I say leaps. Nonetheless, it's an interesting piece. I remember playing in backyard football games, and after scoring a touchdown I would I find the closest thing to jump up and onto and act as if I was doing the leap. Kenseth is the third featured athlete, after Olympian Natalie Coughlin.

Next, ESPN the Mag praises YOU Packer fans! In the "All-World Power Rankings", Packer Backers are ranked number one. They are "iconic: decades-long waiting list, the Lambeau Leap, cheeseheads. Tremendous stuff." Check it out. It's a tribute to the dedication, love, and loyalty that all fans, throughout the state of Wisconsin and beyond, have for the green and gold. Congratulations.

NO DESMOND... NOOO...

So most football fans know that former Packer and Super Bowl XXXI MVP Desmond Howard now works for ESPN on College GameDay. But now he's doing a Super Bowl promotion for Papa John's. And boy is this embarassing.Yes, that is Desmond Howard striking the Heisman pose with a Papa John's pizza box under his arm. I mean, even EA sports used the famous shot of him striking the pose as the cover for NCAA Football 06. But that was trying to immortalize him, the pose, and the way in which he did it (after returning a punt for a touchdown vs Ohio State). But with a pizza box? Is ESPN really not paying you enough, Desmond? I know the producer of GameDay... I can work on that... Please let me work on that...

RODGERS AND FAVRE HAVEN'T SPOKEN

So I guess there was I reason that I started today with the Rodgers vs Favre situation... Because even the Green Bay Press Gazette is reporting on it this morning. And wow do they have a great picture to go along with it... A-Rod STILL can't escape the questions about Brett, and Michael Irvin and his Dallas based ESPN Radio show apparently barraged him with relationship questions as if they were TMZ or one of those stupid entertainment shows. However, they dug up an interesting fact that I did not previously know: The two haven't spoken since the 2008 NFC Championship game. Not at all. Rodgers claims he has tried to get in touch with Brett, but Favre has still to this day yet to respond. A-Rod even says, "It's disappointing" on Irvin's program. He sounds genuinely upset if you listen to the podcast, and that hurts to hear as a Packers fan, and also a Favre fan. Irvin's co-host Kevin Kiley even says he can "see Aaron struggling with this." And I could imagine. He learned under Favre for three seasons, in 2007 they were the only quarterbacks on the team; they had to have some sort of a relationship. And now Brett just won't talk to him. C'mon Brett. This is bigger than football.

RODGERS VS FAVRE

First off, how cool is that picture? Yeah, I took it. Anyways, now that I've let you know a little bit about myself, it's time to actually start blogging! Sweeeet! A lot has happened in Green Bay over the past year and a half, but I should lose all credibility right from the get go if I don't start by stating my case in the Rodgers vs Favre saga. Especially since I basically just professed my love for Brett Favre to all readers. So here it is, my take on the messy situation.

First off, I wish Brett would have taken longer to make his decision. This whole situation could have been avoided if he didn't jump to a conclusion and think he didn't want to play anymore. Dammit Brett I love you, but this could have been spared. It did seem quite clear, however, that even though he had done so much during the 2007 season, a rejuvenated MVP type season if it weren't for Tom Brady and his stupid antics out in New England (yes I loathe the Patriots for their cheating ways), that the Packers were ready to move on from Brett. A-Rod had been waiting in the wing for long enough and the organization believed that it was time for him to step in. Blah, blah, blah, on and on. And this thing got ugly. But that is besides the point, for this argument at least. Did the Packers make the right decision? Rodgers vs Favre.

First, we will look at the basic numbers from the 2008 season.

Rodgers: 63.6 Completion %, 4038 yards, 28 TD, 13 INT, 93.8 QB rating
Favre: 65.7 Completion %, 3472 yards, 22 TD, 22 INT, 81.0 QB rating

Step 1 - Completion percentage is nearly equal. And there isn't much distortion there; Rodgers attempted only 14 more passes than Favre, so we will go with push here. Step 2 - Rodgers clearly outdoes Favre in yards. At the pace Brett threw for (217 YPG) in 2008, he would have needed more than two and a half more games just to tie Rogers. Edge to A-Rod. Step 3 - Rodgers gets the clear edge in touchdowns and interceptions as well. If you take away Favre's 6 TD performance against the Cardinals in week 4, and add back in what his average says he would have had in the game, he gets knocked from 22 all the way down to 17 (22-6=16. 16 TD/15 games = 1.066 TDs per game. Add that to 16). Step 4 - QB rating to Rodgers as well. Almost 13 points higher than Brett, and if we factor out the Cardinals game again it could have been a few points difference. So, in measuring 2008 seasons in terms of basic statistics, Rodgers would seem like the right decision.

Next, we will look at Rodgers in 2008 vs Favre in 2007.

Rodgers (2008): 63.6 Completion %, 4038 yards, 28 TD, 13 INT, 93.8 QB rating
Favre (2007): 66.5 Completion %, 4155 yards, 28 TD, 15 INT, 95.7 QB Rating

WOW. That's like, mirror image type wow. Their yards per attempt (Favre 7.8 vs Rodgers 7.5) and fumbles (Favre 9 with 3 lost and Rodgers 10 with 3 lost) are both even nearly identical. I will simply say that all of these statistics point to a push between their two years. I don't think I've heard anyone else mention that Rodgers first year under the helm was this statistically close to Favre's miracle run in 2007. Maybe I just missed someone saying it, or maybe I'm the first to point it out, but think about THAT as well. This was Rodgers first year as a starting quarterback in the National Football League. He had attempted 59 passes in his entire career before this season, most of which came vs Dallas in 2007 when Favre had to leave with an injury. Oh, but we are far from over.

Living in New York, I got to see a lot of Brett this year (hooray for that!... finally). And that allows me to make this simple statement: his receivers were not the playmakers that Jennings, Driver, and Jones were for him in 2007. Coles and Cotchery are nearly mirror images of each other split on opposite sides of the field. Jennings could do it all, catch the short slant and make a play, or go deep for Brett to throw it up. Driver did all of the underneath and dirty work. Jones had a stellar season with Brett throwing to him. Not to mention everyone else in the mix for the Pack in 2007. But in New York, Brett had no deep threat. Defenses could press his receivers because they knew that it was very unlikely that they would get beat deep. Neither Coles nor Cotchery were big enough or physical enough to get off the line and put themselves in a position to make plays for him. In fact, if you double Chad Pennington's numbers from an injury shortened 2007 season in New York, they would nearly equate Brett's 2008 season with the team. Yet, both quarterbacks had better seasons with other teams, in other offenses, with other players surrounding them. And yes, this is me stating that I still believe that Brett would have been successful in Green Bay this year if the team would have brought him back.

Ah, but just as I seem to be drifting towards the "they should have never turned their back on a player who has done so much for them" ::cough cough:: man crush ::cough cough:: and avoided such a messy situation, I bring in something new. In 2007, the Packers offensive line only allowed Favre to be sacked 15 times. In 2008, Rodgers fell victim to defenses 34 times. Now, either you can look at it and say "Well, that means Rodgers isn't getting the ball off fast enough," or you could see that the line was suffering from the injury bug during the 2008 season, and say "Imagine what A-Rod's stats would have been like with the type of protection Favre had in 2007."
Link
On ESPN's Mike and Mike in the Morning on Thursday, Rodgers was quoted as saying, "as a quarterback, you're paid to win games, you're paid to be clutch down the stretch and I wasn't" (Courtesy of the Press-Gazette). And yes, this is where I bring in that statistic. That whole winning thing. I guess it's important in professional sports, since it's a business and all. Actually, it's very important. And while Brett brought the Packers 13 regular season wins in 2007, Rodgers could only muster 6. And that is a BIG difference in the NFL. The green and gold went from one away from the Super Bowl, to third place in the NFC North, behind the Bears (YUCK). But, after looking at some stats, I don't know if you can necessarily claim that A-Rod wasn't clutch. In fourth quarters when the game was within 7, he threw for 8 TDs and 5 INTs. That is compared to Brett's 4 and 4, respectively, in 2007. When behind, at any point in any game, Rodgers threw 14 TD and had 10 INT. In 2007, 10 and 7 for Brett.

Clearly, the numbers are very similar when comparing Favre's 2007 season with Rodgers' in 2008. Injuries really bit the Pack in '08, both on offense and defense (don't forget Al Harris missing some time and then playing injured, while Cullen Jenkins playing in only 4 games, and Nick Barnett needed ACL surgery, just to mention a few). Basically, my claim is this: While it hurt to see Brett go, to see how out of control it got, and to have to see him in another uniform, I give the Packers credit for making the move and sticking with their guy they spent the whole off-season prepping for his chance and molding the team around. And, in my eyes, Aaron Rodgers did not disappoint in 2008. Now, let us move forward in the Rodgers era, and hail the true A-Rod!

Thursday, January 29, 2009

A LITTLE BIT ABOUT ME

Alright well I guess I should start by giving everybody a little bit of a background about myself. I was born and have lived my entire life in the Empire State (New York). This would seem to lead to the simple question, "Why are you writing about the Green Bay Packers?" Lambeau Field is nearly 1100 miles from the house I grew up in, and NFL ticket was non-existent to my family and I. Yet, I have always been in awe of the green and gold, their history, and the city of Green Bay my entire life. My mother was born in Green Bay and grew up in the state of Wisconsin, although closer to Milwaukee. My father grew up on Long Island but was in middle school and high school during the dominant years of Lombardi's Packers, so he always rooted for the them. Season tickets have been in our family for over four decades (I'm not sure of the exact length, but that shouldn't quite matter to you once you hear that my grandparents were at the Ice Bowl). I mean, honestly, how many people can say they knew someone who was at the Ice Bowl? Well I guess maybe in Wisconsin the number of people who can is a bit higher, but I've grown up in New York and have been able to tell people this my entire life; and people have always been amazed, as am I. When I was younger we would take at least one yearly trip to Titletown and stay with family that lived in the suburbs, and I will admit that I developed a "man crush" towards the Pack. My first pair of eyeglasses (in the 2nd grade) was picked out not by my parents, nor did I take much of their opinion in the matter. I picked a pair that resembled nearly exactly those of then Packers head coach Mike Holmgren:
I idolized Brett Favre. I played quarterback in middle school and high school, and basically on every single pass I tried to show how hard I could throw the ball (and nearly every time was throwing off of the wrong foot, much to my coach's chagrin). It didn't always work out so well that way for me but, hey, if he could do it, I would try it. A cousin of mine lived around the corner from Brett's house in Green Bay, and I still to this day am in awe of this fact. It was a basic ranch house on a regular street corner. No gated community, no big mansion, and although it is well known he spends most of his time back near home in Mississippi, living like that in Green Bay reflected very much so the Wrangler Jeans commercial stereotype of Brett. When the Packers lost to the Giants in the 2008 NFC Championship game, I cried myself to sleep. The day he initially announced his retirement, I stayed home all day and wept. I never got to see him play in person until the day he broke John Elway's all-time wins record at Giant Stadium, and boy am I glad I traveled to that game.

In my blog I hope to follow most news stories surrounding the team, and also give some opinion on different ideas and issues. I also hope to include some fun tidbits every now and then, helping fans reminisce through the wonderful history of the Green Bay Packers.

About Me

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This is my first true sports writing venture, and I hope to one day be one of the most read blogs about the Green Bay Packers. Knowing how die hard Packers fans are, I hope to create a place where they can get the news about their favorite team on a daily basis, while also commenting and starting discussions on their own. While also commenting on news stories about the team, I hope to be able to give some opinion on possible moves the team should make (ie free agents, draft) and anything else that I feel necessary about the green and gold.

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